Rational Subgroups
Most control charts, including the X-bar and
Individual-X charts, rely upon Rational Subgroups to estimate the short term
variation in the process. This short-term variation is then used to predict the
longer-term variation defined by the control limits. But what is a Rational
Subgroup?
A Rational Subgroup is simply "a sample in
which all of the items are produced under conditions in which only random
effects are responsible for the observed variation." [Nelson, Lloyd S. "Control
Charts: Rational Subgroups and Effective Applications," Journal of Quality
Technology. Vol. 20, No. 1, January 1988). As such, it has the following
properties.
- The observations comprising the subgroup
are independent. Two observations are independent if neither
observation influences, or results from, the other. When observations are
dependent on one another, we say the process has Autocorrelation, or Serial
Correlation. (These terms mean the same thing). Many processes are subject
to Autocorrelation. Examples include:
- Chemical Processes: When dealing with
liquids, particularly in large baths, samples taken close together in
time are influenced by one another. The liquid retains the effect of the
first observation, such as temperature, which carries over into
subsequent temperature observations for a period of time. Subgroups
formed over a small time frame from these types of processes are
sometimes called homogenous subgroups, since the observations
within the subgroups are often nearly identical (except for the effect
of measurement variation).
- Service Processes: Consider the wait
time at a bank. The wait time of any person in the line is influenced by
the wait time of the person in front of him/her.
- Discrete part manufacturing: Although
this is the "classic" case of independent subgroups, when feedback
control is used to change a process based upon past observations, the
observations become inherently dependent.
When observations within a subgroup are
auto-correlated, the within subgroup variation is often quite small, and not a
reflection of the between subgroup process variation. The small within subgroup
variation forces the control limits to be too narrow, resulting in frequent out
of control conditions. This leads to Tampering.
- The observations within a subgroup are
from a single, stable process. If subgroups contain the elements of multiple
process streams, or if other special causes occur frequently within
subgroups, then the within subgroup variation will be large relative to the
variation between subgroup averages. This large within subgroup variation
forces the control limits to be too far apart, resulting in a lack of
sensitivity to process shifts. Run Test 7 (15 successive points within one
sigma of center line) is helpful in detecting this condition.
- The subgroups are formed from observations
taken in a time-ordered sequence. In other words, subgroups cannot be
randomly formed from a set of data (or a box of parts); instead, the data
comprising a subgroup must be a "snapshot" of the process over a small
window of time, and the order of the subgroups would show how those
snapshots vary in time (like a "movie"). The size of the "small window of
time" is determined on an individual process basis to minimize the chance of
a special cause occurring in the subgroup.
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